UK Chancellor Autumn Statement 17 Nov 2022

I Demand One Thing...

Posted by Martin Oest on November 17, 2022

Update 221124: Added my YouTube video below and made minor changes to text.





The Budget, or Autumn Statement, is from Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, who has also been the longest serving Health Secretary in the UK.

Pardon the video intro, my personal call and my pride in both background and future. Manchester is the future as well as the foundation of so much relating to work, and worker rights (think Cooperatives, the Weekend, Suffragettes...) it only seems right to point out. Sign up to receive intermittent updates from me and I will be sure to share more, there are a few things from this video alone to dive deeper into. For now though.

I demand one thing of the Chancellor!

Yes, something is still missing after the Autumn Statement. I have put a list of some of my take outs and it will have a bias towards business and organisational benefits which in most cases have links to Applied Strategic Workforce Planning (you may call it something different of course, the key are the activities and not the name). The message seemed to be that times are tough and will continue to be with NHS being most challenged, thus will get more money although they will have to become better as well. Increase minimum wage and taxes must go up. My take is this means further pressures and challenges for businesses and their workers, both in terms of reduced demand and higher cost. Resulting in a poorer workforce able to buy less products and services. And so it goes…

What I heard:

  • Chancellor Jeremy Hunt acknowledges that the UK is in recession
  • Recession will put pressure on business and organisations
  • The NHS (National Health Service) is getting £3.3bn more each of the following 2 years
  • This only fills about half of current vacancies
  • NHS CEO says funding is sufficient to fulfil ‘key priorities’
  • Need for “asking challenging questions about how to reform all our public services for the better”
  • I don’t see the difficult conversations being entertained, especially as I have asked the question to no avail myself…

  • Aiming for Scandinavian quality and Singaporean efficiency
  • Promises workforce plans with 5/10/15 year views, the new Health and Care Act stipulate one made every 5 years
  • BUT a workforce plan every 5 years is not what will solve the problem

  • National Living Wage is being increased, from £9.50 to £10.42 per hour
  • At less than 9.7% increase this is below the 11.1% inflation
  • The Northern Powerhouse rail and HS2 will go ahead as “planned”
  • Recession will put pressure on business and organisations. We have already seen mass layoffs in the US and strikes and strike warings in the UK (and the US too). I recommend you prepare by having different scenarios for various outcomes and don’t get too hung up on the details or decimals. It is mostly directional and you should know that forecasting failures have been done by; Professors; McKinsey; Bank of England; and many more. Just make sure you are clear and transparent with your assumptions.

    How you handle your employees and workers in difficult times has an impact on your EVP and productivity and ability to generate revenue. I suggest watching this YouTube Short from @GaryVee if you are in doubt of how to handle it. I think Elon could use some of Gary’s empathy.

    My overall conclusion leads me to propose implementing Applied Strategic Workforce Planning, the organisational capability that increases revenue, reduces cost and provides a better understanding of risk, all at the same time. I can plug-in and embed Applied Strategic Workforce Planning in your organisation. Start now to have it functional in early 2023.

    It’s not too late to start, although, don’t delay, in my experience I can quite likely help.

    Just click here to send me a message if you are curious what Applied Strategic Workforce Planning can do for you. I will happily have a no commitment conversation.

    Alternatively, use the social media channels below to hear more. And please do feel free to share and use my Web/ Twitter/ YouTube/ LinkedIn profiles for attribution

    Web: oest.co.uk/martinoest full link: https://oest.co.uk/martinoest
    Twitter: @HMOest full link: https://twitter.com/HMOest
    YouTube: @martinoest full link: https://www.youtube.com/@martinoest
    and the link to the video full link: https://youtu.be/3fHHjmzi2QA
    LinkedIn: martinoest full link: https://www.linkedin.com/in/martinoest



    Links to sources used in researching the topic

    The structure follows; Title, Who wrote (which can be both organisation and/or individual/s), Date (I use YYMMDD format), Link to article/content. Sometimes a limited number of links as well as calculations are kept separate and not shared. Please get in touch if you have questions, or want me to expand on specific topics.

    Autumn Statement, Chancellor of the Exchequer, 221117
    Burnham: Use Golborne Link cash to get Manchester Piccadilly HS2 plan right, Dan Whelan, 220609
    Report: HS2 gives reasons for Manchester station stance, Dan Whelan, 220630
    Manchester will be 'best place to live in the country’ once HS2 is built - but only if it's done properly, Mayor says / Andy Burnham calls for debate in Parliament, Charlotte Cox & Ethan Davies, 220805,
    Andy Burnham calls for debate on plans for HS2’s Piccadilly Station renovations, Elliot Griffiths, 220804,
    Plea to rethink Manchester HS2 station plans ahead of crucial Commons debate, Manchester Gov.uk, 220617,
    What's next for the new HS2 station in Manchester…, Jon Robinson, 220630,
    Hunt accused of overlooking UK ‘levelling up’ projects, Jennifer Williams, 221117,
    10 Effects of underfunding, staff shortages, NHS Funding, after 220701,
    Vacancy statistics show 132,139 vacancies across England, NHS Digital, 220901,
    Why Are Tech Companies Laying Off So Many Workers?, Forbes, 221116,
    Waves Of Tech Layoffs — Which Tech Companies Are Cutting Their Workforce And Why?, Forbes, 221118,
    What is behind the big tech companies' job cuts?, Shiona McCallum, 221116,
    These tech companies have imposed major layoffs in 2022. Recession fears and rising interest rates have bludgeoned the industry., Max Zahn, 221116,
    Here are the Big Tech companies that have announced layoffs in 2022, Gianna Melillo, 221117,
    20 tech companies suffering through mass-layoffs in 2022 The spectre of mass-layoffs is haunting the tech industry, Kurt Robson, 221110,
    Recording the presentation of the Autumn Statement from parliament between 11:30:45-13:01:45, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, 221117,
    Autumn statement latest Jeremy Hunt pensions triple lock energy bills income windfall tax, SKY News, (accessed, live feed) 221117,
    Autumn statement: Chancellor increases NHS budget, SKY News, (accessed, live feed) 221117,
    Autumn statement, BBC, (accessed, live feed) 221117,
    The Health and Care Act BMA, 220718,
    First inter-city railway in the world, Science and Industry Museum
    First inter-city railway in the world, Wikipedia
    The Consumer Prices Index, ONS, 221116,
    BOE’s Pill Says Action to Tame Inflation Probably Isn’t Over, Liza Tetley, 221117,

    Credits: The following sources are used, it is all educational. I want to extend a thank you to all ‘contributors’ and the people I have covered.
    For ‘It's Coming Home’: David Baddiel, Frank Skinner & The Lightning Seeds, @Lightning Seeds, @Frank_Skinner1, @DavidBaddiel. And this happens to be topical at the moment too.

    Individuals:
    Jeremy Hunt, Amanda Pritchard, Patricia Hewitt, Andy Burnham, Charlotte Cox, Gianna Melillo, Jon Robinson, Liza Tetley, Ethan Davies, Jennifer Williams, Shiona McCallum, Max Zahn, Elliot Griffiths, Dan Whelan,

    Organisations and their web address:
    ** Government, gov.uk ** Parliamentlive.tv ** Sky News, news.sky.com ** BBC, bbc.co.uk ** BMA, bma.org.uk ** Science+ Industry Museum, scienceandindustrymuseum.org.uk ** Wikipedia, en.wikipedia.org ** Place North West, placenorthwest.co.uk ** Manchester Evening News, manchestereveningnews.co.uk ** RTM, railtechnologymagazine.com ** Manchester City Council, manchester.gov.uk ** BusinessLive, business-live.co.uk ** FT, ft.com ** ONS, ons.gov.uk ** Bloomberg, bloomberg.com ** Verdict, verdict.co.uk ** The Hill, thehill.com ** ABC News, abcnews.go.com ** Forbes, forbes.com ** NHS digital, digital.nhs.uk ** NHS Support Federation, nhsfunding.info ** The Kings Fund, kingsfund.org.uk **

    Known Twitter handles:
    @Jeremy_Hunt @AmandaPritchard @AndyBurnhamGM @MayorofGM @ccoxmenmedia @Gianna_Melillo @JonRobinsonNews @tetley_liza @EthanDaviesMEN @JenWilliams_FT @shionamc @MaxZahn_ @ABC @GaryVee @NHSEngland @MENnewsdesk @rtmnews

    #applied #strategic #workforce #planning #appliedstrategicworkforceplanning #strategicworkforceplanning #workforceplanning #swp #wfp #budget #forecast #inflation #forecastingfailure #autumnstatement #chancellor #NHS #NHSEngland #healthcare #socialcare #hs2 #healthandcareact #demand #scenario #planning #Manchester #evp

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